Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.540575e-04 0.000176 0.000198 0.000223 0.000250 0.000277 0.000308
2025-02-09 1.104692e-04 0.000142 0.000177 0.000219 0.000266 0.000317 0.000377
2025-02-16 8.945704e-05 0.000127 0.000170 0.000223 0.000285 0.000355 0.000439
2025-02-23 7.310210e-05 0.000113 0.000162 0.000224 0.000299 0.000385 0.000490
2025-03-02 6.008758e-05 0.000101 0.000154 0.000223 0.000309 0.000410 0.000535
2025-03-09 5.455647e-05 0.000098 0.000157 0.000235 0.000334 0.000452 0.000599
2025-03-16 4.655244e-05 0.000091 0.000152 0.000237 0.000347 0.000478 0.000645
2025-03-23 4.083710e-05 0.000086 0.000151 0.000242 0.000362 0.000509 0.000696
2025-03-30 3.498769e-05 0.000080 0.000147 0.000244 0.000373 0.000533 0.000739
2025-04-06 2.796368e-05 0.000071 0.000138 0.000238 0.000374 0.000544 0.000766
2025-04-13 2.145685e-05 0.000062 0.000128 0.000229 0.000370 0.000549 0.000785
2025-04-20 1.709762e-05 0.000055 0.000121 0.000226 0.000373 0.000562 0.000813
2025-04-27 1.348709e-05 0.000050 0.000116 0.000224 0.000378 0.000579 0.000848
2025-05-04 1.007179e-05 0.000044 0.000110 0.000219 0.000380 0.000592 0.000878
2025-05-11 8.364492e-06 0.000042 0.000109 0.000224 0.000394 0.000620 0.000928
2025-05-18 6.551481e-06 0.000038 0.000106 0.000224 0.000403 0.000641 0.000969
2025-05-25 4.943949e-06 0.000035 0.000102 0.000224 0.000409 0.000660 0.001006
2025-06-01 4.636894e-06 0.000035 0.000106 0.000236 0.000434 0.000703 0.001075
2025-06-08 3.612319e-06 0.000033 0.000105 0.000238 0.000444 0.000727 0.001119
2025-06-15 2.951833e-06 0.000032 0.000105 0.000243 0.000459 0.000757 0.001171
2025-06-22 2.209520e-06 0.000030 0.000103 0.000245 0.000469 0.000779 0.001215
2025-06-29 1.296199e-06 0.000026 0.000097 0.000239 0.000467 0.000786 0.001236
2025-07-06 6.005343e-07 0.000022 0.000089 0.000230 0.000460 0.000786 0.001249